The Daily
The Daily

The Midterms Begin With a Texas-Size Showdown

March 03, 2026 • 33m

Summary

⏱️ 9 min read

Overview

In a pivotal Texas primary, both parties face defining identity questions about their future. Republicans must choose between establishment incumbent John Cornyn and Trump-aligned firebrand Ken Paxton, while Democrats debate whether to nominate fighter Jasmine Crockett or healer James Tallarico for Senate. With over $100 million spent, this race has become the most expensive primary in American history and serves as the first test of what voters want in Trump's America.

The Texas Primary's National Significance

Texas kicks off the 2026 midterm season with primaries that capture the soul-searching battles within both major parties. The races pit establishment figures against insurgent challengers, testing whether voters prefer fighting or healing, loyalty or defiance. With record-breaking spending exceeding $100 million, this primary offers the first real measurement of where each party stands in the Trump era.

  • Texas is the first major primary of the 2026 midterm elections, with both parties holding Senate primaries
  • The primaries represent fights over race, religion, ideology, Donald Trump, and electability
  • Over $100 million has been spent on advertising, making this the most expensive primary in American history
" It is, in short, a fight over almost everything that we fight about in American politics. "

John Cornyn: The Establishment Republican Under Siege

Senator John Cornyn, a 20-year Senate veteran and former leadership member, should be cruising to reelection. However, his moments of skepticism toward Trump—particularly after January 6th and during Trump's 2024 campaign—have made him vulnerable. Now Cornyn is desperately bear-hugging Trump, highlighting that he voted with the president 99% of the time, but his past doubts continue to haunt him in a party where Trump loyalty is the ultimate test.

  • Cornyn has served in the Senate for 20 years and held leadership positions
  • He expressed criticism of Trump's behavior after January 6th, though he didn't vote to impeach
  • Cornyn publicly said Trump's time had passed him by during the 2024 campaign
  • His reelection campaign video is now a major homage to Trump, emphasizing 99% voting alignment
" I think President Trump's time has passed him by. "

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